McKinsey
Global Institute (MGI) predicted Indonesia would occupy the position as
the country with the world's seventh largest economy on the scale of
2030. At
that time, Indonesia is believed to be offering a business opportunity
for the private sector with a value of U.S. $ 1.8 trillion.
For now, the scale of Indonesia's economy ranks 16th in the world.
In
a report titled The Archipelago Economy: Unleashing Indonesia's
Potential obtained VIVAnews, Thursday, September 19, 2012, business
opportunity Indonesia is only worth U.S. $ 0.5 trillion.
"If
the government and private sector initiative to implement cross-cutting
and productivity revolution to meet the challenges of human resource
capacity, Indonesia could create substantial opportunities," the report
said.
McKinsey
report, the four sectors that would be excellent in 2030 were consumer
services, agriculture and fisheries, natural resources, and education
sectors.
These four sectors belle of the condition in 18 years:
1. Consumer Services
With
the addition of the number of consumers as many as 90 million people,
spending in urban areas to increase 7.7 percent per year. Thus, the business opportunities that could be created by 2030 will reach U.S. $ 1.1 trillion.
Indonesia
can also increase business opportunities to U.S. $ 1.5 trillion if the
government is able to achieve growth in gross domestic product (GDP) of 7
percent. Average economic growth that could create 125 million new consumers.
Among a number of services sectors would enjoy profit in 2030, the financial services business opportunities will have brighter.
2. Agriculture and Fisheries
Income from upstream to downstream in two business sectors are predicted to reach U.S. $ 450 billion, up 6 percent in 2030. The increase in agricultural production is believed to stimulate the growth of the supply and the downstream sector.
If
only the upstream to downstream agriculture and fisheries sector can
grow together, McKinsey believes the advantages to be gained to reach
U.S. $ 130 billion per year by 2030.
Some parts of Java believed to derive profit from the transfer of agricultural land to high value-added businesses. In total, the province is able to increase crop production of around U.S. $ 50 billion. Java can also generate business opportunities for more than 30 percent of the production side.
3. Natural Resources
In
2030, Indonesia's energy market could reach U.S. $ 270 billion, which
is a fusion of the discovery of new energy sources and efficiency of
energy use.
New
energy sources such as geothermal and biofuels is predicted to increase
the market share of 10 per cent per annum to U.S. $ 63 billion.
However,
Indonesia is still very dependent on the old energy sources such as
crude oil, gas, and coal have a business opportunity of U.S. $ 150
billion. Meanwhile, energy efficiency efforts worth U.S. $ 60 billion in reserves and social value.
4. Private EducationIndonesia could be a private education market with increasing demand for educated resources. McKinsey analysis, the costs incurred to produce trained manpower to reach U.S. $ 70 billion per year.
McKinsey
estimates that demand for private education in Indonesia will grow,
where its market share increased 4-fold from U.S. $ 10 billion to U.S. $
40 billion in 2030.